What the Trade War Means to Latin America

By Oscar Ugarteche and Arturo Martínez Paredes | Guest Blog | August 27, 2019

The trade war waged by the United States against China has impacted economic growth and world trade since the fourth quarter of 2018. It implies that trade between the leading economies has slowed and particularly between the European Union, the United States, and China. The cross-border trade of finished products is declining with adverse consequences on the production in these economies. That may explain the reasons for the fall in GDP growth in the United States, the European Union,…

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UNCITRAL and ISDS Reforms: The Divided West and the Battle by and for the Rest

By Anthea Roberts and Taylor St. John | Guest Blog | May 10, 2019

The UNCITRAL debates over ISDS reforms can serve as a real-world laboratory for observing changes in the national interests and policies of different countries, as well as shifts in their geopolitical weight and alignments. As part of a commitment to transparency, UNCITRAL decided to allow a wide range of observers in the room and to make recordings of the debates available. Such transparency gives non-state actors a chance to analyse these dynamics in real time and to consider not…

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Rethinking India’s Industrial Policy Choices

By Smitha Francis | Guest Blog | April 8, 2019

Like many other developing countries, India has seen a continuing focus on improving the ‘ease of doing business’ to revive her stagnant manufacturing sector. This can be explained by the neoliberal analytical framework underlying the export-led growth strategy, which has been the preferred model for successive Indian governments since the drastic and comprehensive policy shift in 1991. This saw trade liberalisation being accompanied by liberalisation of FDI policies and a tendency to shun industrial policy by encapsulating it within…

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Europe’s Challenges in 2019

By Oscar Ugarteche and Alfredo Ocampo | Guest Blog | February 28, 2019

The European economy is facing one of its greatest challenges in recent times. It ranges from slow economic growth, the Brexit, political crises and the emergence of right-wing populist forces, to a possible GDP slowdown contagion emanating from Germany. Some disagreements and uncertainty regarding Maastricht policies are adding to the risks for the economy of the old continent. International organizations have emphasized the need to generate certainty, boost the potential product and reinforce some fiscal aspects that will be…

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The US-China Trade War and the Battle for the 5G Network

By Oscar Ugarteche and Armando Negrete | Guest Blog | February 21, 2019

In mid-January 2018, the US president declared the trade war against China with the announcement of the tariff tax of 20% for imports of washing machines and 30% for solar panels. In March, he applied a tax on steel imports of 25% and aluminum of 10%. After that, since April, the US and China are engaged in the biggest trade war in history. With reprisals taken by China to each aggression. In December 2018, under the G20’s framework in…

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